Interview: Japan Stock Investing With @CacheThatCheque

And so a New Year beckons. You have made your resolutions, started your iDeCo, opened your NISA and brokerage account, maybe got an overseas account too. What next? What should you actually be investing in? I interviewed stock investor @CacheThatCheque and he kindly provided some insights into how he chooses and organises his investments. I hope you find it useful!

Please tell us a little about yourself. How did you come to be in Japan and what got you started with investing? A little about myself – I am half Japanese, half American, but I grew up totally in the US in an area where there were few other Japanese people around. You could basically count the number of Japanese people living in my area on one hand. Eventually, I decided to move here to Japan to get closer to my roots, and now some 10 years later, I’m still here. While there are pro’s and con’s to living here like with anywhere else, my family and career that I’ve established here mean that I’m here now for good. As for investing – I started out perhaps a bit late. I bought my first stocks when I was 30 years old. My main reason for getting started was rather simple: I decided I wanted to have a way to grow my money and retire in the future. I also got interested in the idea of FIRE- achieving financial independence through investing so that I could either retire early or only pursue the type of work that I enjoy doing on my own terms. The more I read about FIRE, the more I became interested in investing and learning more about it. I really like the idea of being financially independent. I’m in my mid to late 30’s now, so while I wish I had started investing earlier, the best time to start investing is still always now rather than never at all.

What do you think about the current investment climate in Japan? The investing climate in Japan to me is quite interesting. Very few people in Japan actually invest, and when I first started investing while living here in Japan, I talked to many people around me about it, and they all thought I was crazy or eccentric. But since I’ve started investing, many of the same people around me that thought I was crazy for getting started with investing have since started investing themselves. While many people in Japan have an image of investing being dangerous or risky, there has also been an uptick in the retail investing culture here in Japan. More people have opened up brokerage accounts in Japan for the first time in the past few years, and TV coverage about Japan’s stock market and its many different tax advantaged investment products has increased. While many people here still don’t invest, it’s interesting to see how more people around me (whom I personally know) have gotten started with investing in recent years. I have been able to see the change and growth, which is exciting. One of my favorite Japanese celebrity retail investors is Kiritani-san, who is known for having built a small fortune from investing in Japanese stocks that hand out gifts to shareholders. While he’s funny and sort of crazy and wacky, he’s also sort of an inspiration for mom and pop investors like myself. It’s always great to see him talking about Japan’s stock market whenever he’s on TV.

Kiritani-san and his trusty mamachari

How do you organise your investments? At the moment, I organize my investments into different streams – passive US and international index funds (50%) and individual Japanese stocks (50%). This may not be the best way to do things, but it’s a reflection of how I got started out with investing. When I first got started, I opened an account with Interactive Brokers and bought only total market US index funds – simple and boring. I did this for several years until I got more interested in the idea of buying up individual stocks. When I started looking at buying up individual stocks, I then ended up getting really interested in the idea of buying individual Japanese stocks. I was really attracted by the low valuations of many individual Japanese stocks and how so many pay out really high dividend yields. While I also pursue a passive index investing strategy, I also got really into dividend investing the more I read about it, and when I found out how cheap so many reliably earning Japanese companies were, it seemed like a natural fit to make a portfolio made of ½ Japanese dividend paying stocks. I like the idea of getting regular dividend payments from companies I own, and it’s an important part of my goal in the future to one day achieve financial independence either completely or partly through solid dividend paying companies.

Do you have a regular investing routine? I invest regularly in the sense that I contribute every month into various index funds. I buy total stock market index ETFs every few months. I also manage family tax advantaged mutual fund accounts for my wife (ideco and tsumitate nisa) where money is contributed every month automatically. I allow the dividends I get from my Japanese companies to accumulate every few months where I then reinvest them into more dividend paying companies. Sometimes I buy more shares of the same companies I own but other times I add new positions into other companies that I am interested in. At the moment, I have about 30 different Japanese dividend paying companies in my portfolio.

What is your investment philosophy? My investing philosophy (if you can call it that) is basically a mix and blend of Boglehead investing, dividend growth investing, and value investing. Every month I buy index funds automatically regardless of whether the market is up or down. My index funds accounts are 100% passive. The price movements of my index funds day to day isn’t so important to me because they will only be relevant to me in 20-30 years when I decide to retire. My other part of my investing strategy is a combination of dividend growth investing and value. For this part of my investing strategy, I also see it as simple and long term oriented. As much as possible I want to buy shares of dividend paying companies at the best price possible. My goal is to buy up as many quality companies at cheap prices. For me, Japan happens to be one of the best places for this type of strategy. So many quality companies in Japan are at such deflated prices, it’s really astounding. My personal favorite sweet spot: a company with a single digit price earning ratio at half its book value paying out a 3-5% dividend yield – amazing how a search of a Japanese companies can bring up dozens of such companies that have nothing really wrong with them (aside from being unloved and unwanted because they are Japanese companies). While many detractors will say that buying up such companies is meaningless if their share prices hardly move, for this part of my investing strategy I am concerned only with the dividend payouts. My basic feeling on this is that if I lock in the basement price of a quality company already paying out a 3-5% dividend yield, I can just sit back and wait, while enjoying a good return through dividends while benefitting from any good potential upside while limiting my downside. I also think that if you’re an investor in Japan who can speak the language, it’s a major niche in your favor if you can read and learn about the Japanese stock market and all the quality companies that exist here that those outside of Japan who can’t speak the language don’t have access to.

How do you pick the actual investments? For my Japanese stock picking part of my portfolio, it’s almost like a shopping and bargain hunting experience for me that I enjoy doing. There are over 3,000 stocks in the Japanese market so there is no shortage of good deals out there. There are some good Japanese screeners like Buffett code that are useful that I recommend. Basically, while Japan has many quality large caps, the Japan small cap space is the most interesting. There are so many companies here that no one has ever heard of with net cash, zero debt, family controlled, paying more attention to shareholder value raising their dividends. Those are the stocks I am always looking to add more of to my portfolio. Stock screeners, Japanese blogs, youtube, and twitter are all ways I try to keep myself on the hunt for good companies to add to my portfolio.

What is a stock or stocks that you are really excited about now? I’ve posted about my portfolio before on twitter, but stocks that I really like are Japan’s many different trading companies – large, mid, and small cap. They’re often very old and established companies used to brokering deals and relationships with customers all over the world in all kinds of niche fields. They’re always very cash flow positive and also run many other different businesses as well, so they’re very diversified.

Do you hold any stocks that you will never sell? In principle, whenever I buy a stock I do so with the idea that I will never sell it. While I sell out of stocks sometimes for various reasons, I try to keep true to my rule.

I know you as a stock investor, but do you also invest in other asset classes? I only invest in stocks and some ETFs that have allocations to bonds. I don’t own any crypto. As there are people much smarter than me out there that have very contradictory views on crypto (“It’s rat poison! “crypto is the future!”) I’ve stayed away from crypto completely as an investing class. The way I see it, I can still reach my goal of achieving financial independence regardless of whether or not I ever buy any crypto or something I do not understand well.

Could you tell us about an investing mistake you have made, and what you learned from it? I think everyone makes mistakes in investing at some point. For me, while it’s not a major mistake perhaps, I used to make the mistake of checking my accounts constantly when I first started out with investing, which would lead to temptations to sell out of positions whenever they would dip in the market. Nowadays, I rarely check my accounts and feel content to know that there’s no need to do so when you’re confident and secure that you own many good companies for long term.

What basic advice do you have for people who are looking to invest more in Japan? Japan is a good market for value investors, but it’s also a peculiar market that has historically paid little attention to shareholders. While things are changing, I think investing in Japan still requires a lot of patience.

Anything else you would like to add? If you’re new to investing, it’s never too late to start. One obstacle to investing if you live here in Japan, though, is the added barrier and suspicion of investing in the stock market as something risky. There’s also the few number of other people around you who have any investments of any kind (aside from idle cash sitting in their bank accounts) who will make you feel crazy for trying to start. The irony of the risk averse nature of many Japanese though is how many don’t realize how many companies in Japan are very low risk to invest in because of their total lack of debt and solid balance sheets. It’s also interesting to me of how unaware many Japanese people are that their government is already using their tax dollars to invest in the stock market through its public pension fund (GPIF) and central bank buying (BOJ ETF buying). My feeling on this is that if the government is using public money to invest in the stock market, you may as well also invest for yourself as well. In Japan, especially, where many people can’t expect much in the way of major pay raises, investing in the stock market seems like the ideal way to grow your money for long term.

Where can people find you to follow your work? I don’t keep a blog or substack. I have a day job and family that keep me plenty busy, but if you want to follow my ramblings and thoughts on Japan and its market you can follow me at my twitter handle: @CacheThatCheque

There’s lots of detail in here that I’m sure readers will find useful. If you have any questions, please post in the comments or ask away on Twitter.

Thanks again to @CacheThatCheque and here’s wishing everybody all the best for 2022!

Disclaimer: This should go without saying, but the information contained in this blog is not investment advice, or an incentive to invest, and should not be considered as such. This is for information only.

Online Coaching – Perfect Timing

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I hope everyone is safe and well in these difficult times. One thing you are probably doing is spending a lot more time at home. And with that comes a lot more time online, particularly using internet communication tools like Skype and Zoom.

You may have noticed that I offer personal finance coaching. This also includes online coaching, which was initially meant for people living outside the Kanto area, but is fast becoming the norm in these times of social distancing.

Now would be a great time to get your finances in order and take advantage of one of the best opportunities to invest you will see in years. Below is the 25 year chart of the S&P 500. You can see quite clearly the benefit of investing during severe market downturns in 2000 and 2008. Why not make use of the extra bandwidth you have and put some money to work for you?

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Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/

Among other things, I can help you figure out:

  • How much you have available to invest and how much you should be keeping in cash for emergencies.
  • What currency is best for you.
  • What kind of account would be right for you.
  • How to allocate when you get the account.
  • How to maintain your investments over the long run.

More information, including rates, is available here. If you would like to book a coaching session, or you have some questions before getting started, please get in touch with me via the Contact Form.

International Health Insurance

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If you live and work in Japan, you are probably quite satisfied with your health insurance coverage. The Japanese national health insurance system is super-efficient and covers 70% of medical costs. Unless you have a serious injury or illness, you are unlikely to get any nasty surprise medical bills.

This is how I’ve thought of my own health insurance until recently. I bought a little extra cover in case of an extended stay in hospital and figured I’m good.

Then a friend of mine got a critical illness. Without going into too much detail, the doctors in Japan told him to get his affairs in order, there’s nothing they can do. He then returned to his home country and found that actually there is an option to undergo immunotherapy. The cost, however, is around 2 million yen equivalent per month…

Thankfully, many years ago he took out some international health insurance with a UK insurance company. He faithfully paid his premiums for years and now, when he actually needs it, they have agreed to cover the full cost of his treatment.

I don’t think I need to spell this out much further. Google international health insurance, do a bit of research to find a policy that fits you, and sign up. If you are choosing from a well known provider the terms and costs are likely to be pretty similar. The one choice you will need to make is whether you want US cover or not.

You may pay your premiums for years and feel like you are wasting money. Hopefully you’ll never need the cover. However, like my friend, there may come a time when you will be glad you had it.

What’s the Plan?

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Looking back, I have posted on a wide variety of subjects over the last year or so. It’s interesting to note that the posts that get the most views are almost all related to specific investment products.

I found this out years ago when we were doing financial planning seminars. Often we would spend 20-30 minutes on a specific financial planning issue, and then for the last 10 minutes we would have a guest from an investment company talk about an investment product or fund. All of the enquiries after the seminar were related to the product, not the planning process. I concluded that people find it easier to examine a product and decide if they like it or not, than to think about long term planning.

Maybe planning is just too hard? Certainly many people are busy and pushed for time. For that reason I’ve decided to boil it down to its simplest form. Financial planning in three quick steps. Here we go:

  1. Have a plan!
  2. Cover the basics
  3. Think about where you will spend the money

If you do nothing else then at least spend some time on these three points.

Have a plan – are you more likely to succeed if you have a clear goal and a simple step by step plan how to reach it? Of course you are! Where are you going to be in 10, 15, 20 years? What do you want to have? About how much do you need?

“I should save money for my daughter’s education” is not a plan. “I need $80,000 in 18 years time for my daughter’s education, and I’m going to start investing $200 a month from now in order to get there.” – now that sounds more like it! (calculated on average return of 6.5% p.a. by the way)

Ask yourself some simple questions and at least get a basic roadmap. The plan can be adjusted as you go.

Cover the basics – read this post, take action on these three points and breathe a sigh of relief! (Emergency cash reserve, basic insurance, some kind of pension)

Think about where you will spend the money – Are you staying where you are now forever? Are you likely to return to your home country or go somewhere else? Go with the most likely outcome and save in your base currency. Also, think about the most tax efficient way to get the money you save now back there. You may need to get some advice on this but at least start thinking about it.

And that’s it! If you get to work on these three points, you have probably done more financial planning than most people do in a lifetime!

Financial Planning for Babies

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You may have noticed that there have been no updates on here for over a month. Apologies for that – our first son was born in early May and we are just getting into the swing of things!

As some of you will know, having a new born baby is very exciting, but also exhausting. Going from a solid 8 hours of sleep a night to waking up every 3 hours is a shock to the system. However, after a couple of months the little one starts sleeping longer and the brain starts to return to something approaching normal functionality. That’s when you may start thinking, “So what do we need to prepare financially now we have a new baby?”

Before I get into the financial planning stuff, I found an excellent blog: 2020 Mum in Tokyo – the “baby admin” section here is really helpful when it comes to working out what paperwork needs to be done to register your baby’s birth in Japan and overseas. It’s particularly useful if one or both of the parents is British.

So what kind of financial review should you conduct after a new addition to the family? Keeping it simple, I would look at two things: Insurance and Savings.

Insurance

Assuming you have already covered the basics and have an emergency cash reserve, basic medical cover, and income protection insurance in case you are sick or injured long term, the main thing to address after the birth of a child is life insurance. You may not have thought about it this way, but life insurance is really about replacement of income – if you were no longer around, what income would your family need to have the lifestyle you want them to have and be able to do the things you want them to do?

It’s also important to cover any liabilities. Do you have any debt that you would want to have paid off if something happened to you? If you have a loan on a property in Japan in your name, you will almost certainly have adequate life cover to dispense of this loan in the case of your death. If the loan is in your spouse’s name only, you may need additional cover. If you have loans on property overseas you need to check if they are covered. Do you have any other liabilities? Make sure you get an accurate total.

On to income – what income would your family need monthly if you were no longer there to provide it? If both parents work, keep in mind that if one of you is no longer around, the surviving parent will need to take care of the kids and may not be able to earn at the same level they do now. Do you want your child / children to go to university? What would that cost per year? Many Japanese life insurance policies can be set up to pay out an income rather than a lump sum – you may find something like this easier to plan with. (talk to an insurance professional to make sure you understand the options)

If you are looking at a lump sum payout, here’s how to calculate what you need:

If annual required income is $50,000, for example – at an interest rate of 5% per year you need $1,000,000 in order to generate the income without spending the capital. If you calculate at 2.5% you need to double that. If you are assuming zero interest rates, a million dollars will last 20 years. It’s up to you how conservative you want to be.

So if you need $1,000,000 to cover the income and you have uninsured loans of $280,000 (for example) you need $1,280,000. If you are adding in 4 years of university at $25,000 per year, then you need $1,380,000 in life insurance cover.

Obviously if you have significant assets already that could cover some of these costs, you can reduce the amount of life cover accordingly.

Savings

A new baby can be a great motivator for saving money! What is interesting is that I often find that people are less willing to take risk on money they save for their kids. They take it so seriously that losing money is not an option and they become overly conservative. While I understand why someone would feel this way, it’s a little counterintuitive. The time when kids really start to cost money is when they go to college / university, and that’s still 18 years away. Saving money in cash for that time frame means you will barely keep up with inflation. Also, the dollar cost averaging effect of regular saving means you can afford to take some risk in the early years.

It’s a good idea to start with a target in mind, so do some research on what school costs today. Don’t forget to factor in that higher education costs are rising faster than inflation year on year. This article may help get you started.

Once you have a target in mind, work backwards to how much you need to save each month. Use a simple online savings calculator to help figure it out. Here’s a simple one you can try.

In terms of investment vehicles, look at tax advantaged investments first. Japan’s Junior Nisa is a good example, allowing parents / grandparents / guardians to make contributions on behalf of children under 20 up to ¥800,000 per year. (the UK has a Junior ISA, while the US have 529 College Savings Plans)

Lastly, you may find you are entitled to reimbursement of medical costs related to the birth / child benefit in Japan. This can be a good way to kick off a savings account for your new family member!

Disclaimer: This should go without saying, but the information contained in this blog is not investment advice, or an incentive to invest, and should not be considered as such. This is for information only.

Planning for the New Year

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First of all, Happy New Year! If you have been following this blog in 2017, thank you very much for reading. Starting from mid-May last year I managed a total of 55 posts. I hope some of them were useful. Now to try and keep up that pace in 2018…

A New Year, of course, means New Year’s resolutions. Some people are very good at making and keeping resolutions, and some people let their gym membership lapse in February. Often, when you look back on resolutions that didn’t work out, you will find that it was the initial goal that wasn’t clear enough, not just a lack of discipline or willpower. So here are some simple tips for setting financial goals for the year:

Be realistic – we’d all like a million dollars in the bank, but if the number is unreachable it will be easy to give up.

Be clear – “Save more money” is not a clear goal. “Pay my credit card down to zero and have an emergency cash reserve of $10,000 by June 30th” is much better. Write it in big letters and stick it to the fridge if you have to!

Start with something you can do immediately – open excel and start a budget spreadsheet, download an app, open an account, fund an account. Find something you can take action on right now to get you started.

Stick with one or two major goals for the year and track them – if your list is too long it can become overwhelming. Start with one or two major goals, make them as realistic and specific as possible, take action immediately, and review every month.

If you are running short on ideas, here are some examples:

Track your money – if you are not clear on your income and expenditure then this is a priority. It doesn’t matter if you use a spreadsheet, an app or a blank sheet of paper. Spend the first two months of the year tracking all incoming and outgoing money so you know exactly where you stand.

Prioritise debt – make a list of your liabilities and prioritise them by interest rate. Pay the most expensive ones down first.

Cover the basics – emergency cash reserve, basic insurance cover, some kind of pension. Take care of these three things before moving on to loftier goals. Automate as much as you can.

Set a savings goal – how much are you going to save this year? What accounts are you going to max out? Start by maxing out any tax-advantaged accounts like an IRA or NISA.

Identify bad habits – are there things you need to stop doing? Whether it’s online shopping binges or overpriced lunches, see if there’s any financial fat you can cut out.

Start a side project – is there something you love that you could turn into a side business and increase your income? You never know, one day you might be able to quit the day job!

Invest in knowledge – find a book you want to read, sign up for a course, follow a blog! Educating yourself is a low-cost, high-return way to improve your financial situation. Share what you find with like-minded friends.

I hope this gives you some actionable ideas. Thank you again for reading and please feel free to comment, share and get in touch.

Wishing you all the best for a successful 2018!

 

 

Paying Down Debt vs Saving and Investing

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The question of whether to focus on paying down debt or to prioritise saving and investing is one that many people wrestle with. Like most trade-offs there are several variables to consider, so let’s see if we can simplify this into some workable strategies.

Firstly, you cannot come to a conclusion unless you have a handle on your budget. Getting clear on your income and expenditure is the first step. That way you will know exactly how much you have left at the end of the month to allocate.

The next thing is to make sure you have some basic financial security. If you don’t have any savings it is perhaps prudent to pay off the minimum on your debt until you can build up an emergency cash reserve. Aim for a minimum of three months expenses so you have some breathing space if you lose your current source of income.

Obviously you want to try to pay off any high interest debt first. Credit cards are the number one offender here. With APR often as high as 18% it is wise to clear this as quickly as possible.

Student loans often come next. For people who studied in the US for example, student loan interest rates seem to be around 6-7%. If you are thinking of investing the money to get a better return and pay off the debt later, this is not an easy hurdle to clear without taking a lot of risk.

Where the trade-off question gets interesting is with home loans, particularly for people living in Japan with floating interest rates below 1%. There’s a strong argument for making your minimum monthly payments and saving and investing everything you can. I certainly wouldn’t disagree with that, but everyone feels differently about debt. I know people who never bought their own home because they couldn’t stand the idea of owing the bank that much money. If it keeps you awake at night, there’s nothing wrong with paying off your mortgage as fast as you can.

Once again, it’s good to make sure you are clear on your budget. Then make sure you have an emergency cash reserve, and have protected yourself in case you get sick or injured and are unable to work. In Japan you are required to buy life insurance to cover the loan in case of death, but in other countries you may need to consider this yourself. Paying into some kind of pension plan counts as one of the basics too and I would prioritise that over paying down debt. In his book Rich Dad Poor Dad: What The Rich Teach Their Kids About Money That the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!, Robert Kiyosaki talks about the concept of paying yourself first – make sure you are saving and investing for your future before paying the bank back more than you have to.

That said, if you are hitting your targets for saving and investing, then paying down debt is certainly not a bad thing. It reduces the amount of interest you will need to pay over time and the number of years it will take to repay the loan. Even 1% per year adds up!

For people in Japan, here’s an unexpected bonus: In order to get a mortgage in Japan you are required to appoint a guarantor. For expats this usually means paying a loan guarantor company, and you pay them up front when the loan is arranged. If you make ad-hoc lump sum payments to reduce the debt, the guarantor’s liability is reduced and they actually pay you back some of their guarantor fee. We recently made a payment of ¥1,000,000 on our home loan and received almost ¥60,000 back from the guarantor.

So to summarise, cover the basics first, prioritise high interest debt, and make sure you are saving and investing for the future whilst paying off the rest.

 

 

 

Protection Review

 

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We mentioned earlier the three basics of financial planning: emergency cash reserve, basic protection, and some kind of pension. Below is a list of items to consider when reviewing if you have adequate protection in place:

  • Do you have an emergency cash reserve to cover at least 3-6 months expenses?
  • Do you have adequate health insurance?
  • Do you have any income protection insurance, in case you are sick or injured for the long term?
  • Do you have any critical illness insurance, in case you are diagnosed with a serious illness? (heart disease, stroke, cancer etc.)
  • Do you have any loans / liabilities that are not insured?
  • Do you have children? If so, have you considered life insurance?
  • Do you have a current will? Does it include all of your worldwide assets?
  • Have you reviewed your estate planning needs?

Obviously getting all of this done in one go is going to be tricky, so I would suggest making sure you have at least the first three in place before you consider making investments. The rest you can work on as you go.

What is your base currency?

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Soon we will get started with your financial profile, where you will be recording your income and expenditure and building your own personal balance sheet. In order to boil this down to the most important numbers you will need to decide which currency to calculate in.

For expats this can be a tricky business. You may live and work in Japan for example, and earn money in JPY. However you may have assets, or even income, in your home country or elsewhere in other currencies. How do you decide which is your base currency?

For completing your balance sheet and adding up your total assets we could argue that it doesn’t really matter. Just pick the currency you use the most and convert all values to that. However from a financial planning perspective there is a clear rule: Your base currency is the currency you are going to spend the money in. If you are just going to live in Japan for a few years and then move back to your home country permanently, then the fact that you earn in yen is largely irrelevant. You will need to plan in the currency of your home country as that’s where you will spend the money. This is important to help manage currency risk. It would be a shame to build up a tidy sum in assets in JPY, only to find when you move back home and need to start using the money, that the yen has crashed and you are getting a really bad deal on the exchange rate.

If you are going to stay in Japan forever and retire here it’s pretty simple. Your base currency is JPY. However, what if you plan to send your child to university in the UK and need to save for that? Yes, it’s actually possible to have multiple base currencies. In this case you would save for retirement in JPY and save to pay for your child’s education fees in GBP.

So before you start your financial profile, it’s important to work out your base currency. When you fill out your balance sheet use the currency that you are likely to spend most of the money in. Feel free to contact me if you are unsure.

A Simple Formula

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When it comes to taking complex strategies and tools and making them so simple, that anyone can apply them immediately to improve their quality of life, Tony Robbins is a master. Here is his simple formula for creating financial abundance:

  1. Spend less than you earn and invest the difference.
  2. Re-invest your returns for compounded growth.
  3. Reach a critical mass of investment capital that creates the annual income you desire for life.

If you are not sure what is meant by compounded growth, take a look at the charts in this article. (the article is a few years old but the charts tell the story well enough)

In the coming posts we will get started with your personal financial profile. The first item on there is income and expenditure, and hopefully you will find that you are already spending less than you earn!

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